FullBullMarket on ASRUSDT: +58.81% across 48,803 trades - 2023 backtest over 365 days

This backtest produced a 58.81% return on ASRUSDT between 2023-01-01 and 2023-12-31. Returns of this magnitude in a single historical window typically reflect a favourable price trajectory of the underlying asset combined with the FullBullMarket configuration's exit behaviour, and should not be assumed to repeat in other windows or in live trading.

About ASRUSDT: ASRUSDT is a stablecoin-quoted spot pair on Binance. Quote-side liquidity is deep, so slippage assumptions in this backtest map reasonably well to live execution at retail size.

An 100.0% closed-trade win rate across 48,803 closed trades on ASRUSDT is unusually high. Strategies that win this often typically use small take-profits relative to stop-losses, which works until a single large adverse ASRUSDT move erases many small wins. This figure covers closed trades only and **excludes 941 orders** that were still open at the end of the window.

At roughly 133.7 ASRUSDT trades per day this is a high-frequency configuration — fee drag and slippage assumptions become critical when extrapolating to live trading on Binance Spot.

The trade payoff distribution is positively skewed — outsized winners drove the bulk of the result, which is characteristic of trend-capturing modes. Best single trade: 1.8146 USDT. Worst: 0.0117 USDT. Average per trade: 0.1788 USDT.

Risk profile (closed trades only): No closed trade ended in a loss in this window — the worst closed trade still finished at +0.00% of starting capital and the best at +0.02%, giving a best-vs-worst ratio of 154.59:1. **This is a closed-trade statistic only:** open positions and unrealized PnL are not reflected in the per-trade min/max, so this should not be read as "the strategy cannot lose". Drawdown on the equity curve and any negative unrealized PnL on still-open positions remain the relevant downside measures.

About the FullBullMarket strategy: FullBullMarket is tuned for sustained uptrends — it scales position size into rising markets and gives winners room to run. It tends to underperform in choppy or bear conditions.

Configuration analysis: The FullBullMarket configuration entered on a 0.1% pullback signal across 6 potential buy splits at 60 USDT each. Total deployable notional is therefore 360 USDT — a position-sizing footprint that is defensive at 4% of starting capital — most of the account stays in stablecoins as buffer. No hard stop-loss is configured — the strategy relies on take-profit zones and trailing logic instead, which trades smoother behaviour for higher tail-risk in sustained downtrends. Profit is taken in 6 laddered sell zones, which scales out gradually rather than betting on a single exit price — a structure that smooths returns at the cost of capping the very best winners. Maker/taker fees totalling 15 bps were deducted from every fill, so the headline 58.81% is already net of trading costs — no additional fee adjustment is required when comparing to other runs.

Over the configured 365-day window the strategy reported 8723.93 USDT of realised trade profit on a 10000 USDT starting balance, ending at a portfolio value of 15881.03 USDT. Mechanically annualising the 58.81% window return projects to roughly +58.8% per year — the window covers roughly one full year, so the annualised figure is closer to the realised pace than to an extrapolation, but a single year still represents a single market regime. Treat this number as a unit-conversion of the window result, not as an expected forward return.

Hold-time profile: Average time in market per closed trade: 2.5 days - multi-day holds that ride full ASRUSDT trend legs and absorb overnight funding-style risk. This cadence is a direct consequence of the FullBullMarket exit ladder interacting with realised ASRUSDT volatility over 365 days - a slower or faster market would shift the same rule set into a different bucket.

Realised vs unrealised split: The +5881.03 USDT change in portfolio value decomposes into 8723.93 USDT of realised trade profit and -2842.90 USDT of mark-to-market on 941 positions still open at the cutoff. Roughly 48% of the headline is therefore unrealised - a bar-close in the wrong direction the next minute would repaint it, and that is why "return" and "realised profit" on this page are not the same number.

Break-even fee threshold: Given the realised 8723.93 USDT profit across 48,803 closed trades at ~60.00 USDT notional per fill, the strategy would break even at approximately 14.9 bps of round-trip fees. Binance retail is ~20 bps round-trip (15 bps with BNB discount); the gap between that live cost and the 14.9 bps figure is the fee headroom this configuration has before it turns unprofitable - a metric specific to this run's trade count and per-trade size.

Drawdown recovery ratio: Against a peak equity-curve drawdown of 30.38%, the 58.81% window return yields a pain-to-gain ratio of 1.94x - the run generated more return than drawdown, which is the minimum bar for an operator to sit through the equity dip without abandoning the strategy. Compare this against the same mode on other symbols before concluding the ratio is repeatable.

Realised profit velocity: On closed trades alone this configuration produced roughly +23.90 USDT/day, +167.31 USDT/week and +727.55 USDT/month across the 365-day ASRUSDT window. Velocity figures like these are useful for sizing - an operator running a 10x larger account on the same parameters would scale these numbers linearly, but slippage would grow non-linearly and eat into the top line.