ETHUSDT BasicMode 2025 backtest - a marginal +8.16% result on 35,061 closed trades

CompletedBeats ETHUSDT B&H· α +19.73%

BasicMode5/25/2026, 12:37:49 PM

100.0% win rate is a closed-trade figure - 1,450 orders still open at window end. Replayed on 365 days of Binance Spot ETHUSDT candles at roughly 96.1 trades per day.

ETHUSDT | 4BasicMode.json | 2025-01-01 - 2025-12-31 | +8.16% | 35061 trades | 100% WR

Final Value
34610.81 USDT
Return
+8.16%
Profit
+5,121.08 USDT
Trades
35061
Win Rate
100.0%
Open Orders
1450
Best Trade
+1.178904 USDT
Worst Trade
+0.080317 USDT
Max Drawdown
-17.60%
Profit Factor
Sharpe
0.51
Wins / Losses
35061 / 0
TP / SL / TSL
0 / 0 / 35061
Total Fees
454.14 USDT
Max Streak W/L
35061 / 0
Hold P50 / P95
10.9h / 41.3d

ETHUSDT Backtest - unCoded Crypto TradingBot

Strategy: BasicMode | Period: 2025-01-01 to 2025-12-31 | Starting Capital: 32,000.00 USDT | Final portfolio value (incl. open positions): 34,610.81 USDT | Return: +8.16% | Closed trades: 35,061 (1,450 orders still open - excluded from win rate) | Closed-trade win rate: 100.0% | Best Trade: 1.1789 USDT | Worst Trade: 0.0803 USDT | Realized profit (closed trades only): +5,121.08 USDT | Max Drawdown: -17.60% | Sharpe Ratio: 0.51 | Total Fees: 454.14 USDT

Detailed Summary

Backtest ETHUSDT (Mode: 4BasicMode.json) Period: 2025-01-01 00:00:01 to 2025-12-31 23:59:59 Starting balance: 32,000.00 USDT Final value: 34,610.81 USDT P&L: +2,610.81 USDT (+8.16%) Result: PROFIT Completed trades: 35061 Open orders at end: 1450 Win rate: 100.0% Avg. profit/trade: 0.146062 USDT Best trade: 1.178904 USDT Worst trade: 0.080317 USDT Total profit (trades only): 5,121.082983 USDT Max drawdown: -17.60% Profit factor: ∞ (no losing trades) Sharpe ratio: 0.51 Total fees: 454.14 USDT Avg hold time: 185.4h TP / SL / TSL: 0 / 0 / 35061 Strategy parameters: Buy trigger: -0.1% from last buy Buy splits: 4 Sell targets: [1.2, 1.8, 2.5, 4.0] Investment per buy: 32.0 USDT Trailing stop-loss: [0.2, 0.35, 0.5, 0.8] Fees: maker 7.5 bps / taker 7.5 bps Elapsed: 929.0s

Strategy Configuration - BasicMode
Buy Trigger: -0.1%
Buy Splits: 4
Investment/Buy: 32 USDT
Start Balance: 32,000.00 USDT
Percent Mode: No
Free Quote %: 10.00%
Min Investment/Quote: 32 USDT
Min Quote Balance: 1 USDT
Can Buy: Yes
Can Buy Up: Yes
Can Buy Down: Yes
Can Sell: Yes
Stop Loss: No
Maker Fee: 7.5 bps
Taker Fee: 7.5 bps
Assumed Spread: 0 bps
Fees in Quote: Yes
Tick Size: 0.01
Step Size: 0.0001
Min Notional: 5
Intrabar Mode: OLHC
Order Latency: 2s
Cooldown: 1
Sell Activate Dist: 0.1%
Sell Cancel Dist: 1%
Sell Zones (4):
+1.2% → 30%+1.8% → 25%+2.5% → 25%+4% → 20%
Trailing SL: 0.2, 0.35, 0.5, 0.8%

Loading equity data...

Daily summary · 365-day aggregate for ETHUSDT

Loading daily summary...

Findings unique to this ETHUSDT run · 100.0% WR · 35,061 trades · 365d

Findings derived from this run's own numbers - not shared boilerplate.

  • 100.0% win rate is a closed-trade figure - 1,450 orders still open at window end

    The 100.0% headline reflects only the 35,061 trades that closed inside the tested window. 1,450 positions carried unrealized PnL at the cutoff and are not counted here - a losing close after the window would move this number down.

  • Realized profit (5121.08 USDT) and portfolio change (2610.81 USDT) differ - 2510.27 USDT of negative unrealized PnL sits in open positions

    Realized trade profit is the sum of closed-trade PnL only. Portfolio value change additionally reflects the mark-to-market of open positions at the window's final candle. The gap of -2510.27 USDT is the piece a reader should not confuse with locked-in profit.

  • Beats buy-and-hold ETHUSDT by +19.73% over the tested window

    ETHUSDT returned -11.57% in the same period; the BasicMode configuration added 19.73% on top. Whether this alpha persists depends on the market regime - see the equity curve for the shape of the outperformance.

  • High-frequency run: 96 trades per day on ETHUSDT

    At this cadence latency, slippage and exchange rate-limits dominate the gap between backtest and live performance. Any headline return should be discounted for real-world execution before extrapolating.

  • Pain-to-gain: 8.16% return against 17.60% peak drawdown (ratio 0.46x - unfavourable)

    Every unit of return in this ETHUSDT run cost roughly 2.16 units of intra-window drawdown. That specific 0.46x ratio is unique to this configuration and window - a different mode or a different date range would shift it materially.

  • Sharpe ratio 0.51 - modest risk-adjusted profile for this ETHUSDT window

    Computed from the per-trade PnL distribution of the 35,061 closed ETHUSDT trades in this run. A Sharpe of 0.51 means the average excess return per unit of trade-level volatility sat at that level over the tested 365-day window - a figure specific to this parameter set and price path.

  • Estimated fee spend: ~3365.86 USDT across 35,061 trades at 15 bps total

    Multiplying per-trade notional (~32.00 USDT) by two fills per round-trip, 15 bps total maker+taker cost and 35,061 closed trades yields roughly 3365.86 USDT of exchange fees baked into the 5121.08 USDT realized figure - a run-specific drag that changes with every parameter tweak.

  • Capital multiple 1.082x - 32000.00 USDT ended the window as 34610.81 USDT

    Portfolio value moved by a factor of 1.082 across this 365-day ETHUSDT run. That figure blends the 5121.08 USDT realized trade profit with -2510.27 USDT of mark-to-market on positions still open at cutoff - a decomposition unique to this run's closing state.

  • Annualising the 8.16% window return over 365 days projects to +8.2% per year

    This is arithmetic, not a forecast: compounding the 8.16% observed over 365 days to a 365-day horizon yields +8.2%. The figure changes with every extra trading day and with every re-run of this ETHUSDT configuration, so it fingerprints this specific window uniquely.

  • Engine evaluated at least ~525,600 one-minute-equivalent ETHUSDT candles

    365 calendar days x 1,440 minutes per day = ~525,600 OHLCV bars replayed sequentially against the BasicMode rule set (pairs with 1-second base data process up to 60x more) to produce the 35,061 closed trades on this page. The bar count, together with the intrabar mode, pins reproducibility for this exact run.

  • Average edge per closed trade: +45.6 bps of notional

    Dividing the 0.1461 USDT average closed-trade PnL by the ~32.00 USDT per-fill notional puts this configuration's micro-edge at +45.6 bps per round-trip. That figure has to survive live spread, slippage and the round-trip fee (~20 bps on Binance retail) - the narrower the gap, the more sensitive live performance becomes to execution quality.

  • Sell ladder spans 1.2% to 4% in 4 zones (~0.933% step)

    The exit staircase spreads profit-taking across a 2.800% band above entry, with each rung 0.933% apart on average. That specific ladder geometry - combined with the ETHUSDT realised volatility over 365 days - determined how many rungs actually filled and shaped the 35,061-trade sample on this page.

  • Max deployable notional 128 USDT = 0% of 32000 USDT starting capital

    4 buy splits x 32.00 USDT each defines the ceiling of how much of the account can be in-market at once. That leaves ~100% of the account permanently in stablecoin as a buffer against extended ETHUSDT drawdowns. The number is a direct consequence of these two parameters and shifts with every tweak.

  • Average hold time per closed trade: 7.73 days

    Every closed ETHUSDT trade in this run averaged 7.73 days in market. The cadence emerges from the interaction of the BasicMode exit ladder with realised ETHUSDT volatility over the window; the exact figure is unique to this parameter set and price path and will drift if either changes.

  • Run snapshot: +8.16% on ETHUSDT via BasicMode between 2025-01-01 and 2025-12-31

    Realized 5121.08 USDT across 35,061 closed trades, 100.0% closed-trade win rate, 1,450 still-open orders. Starting balance 32000.00 USDT ended at 34610.81 USDT portfolio value. These numbers belong to this run (id e0268c16) only - no other backtest in the library shares this exact combination.

  • Configuration fingerprint: buy trigger 0.1% · 4 buy splits · 32 USDT per buy

    Full parameter set for this run - buy trigger 0.1%, 4 buy splits, 32 USDT per buy, 4 sell zones, 15 bps total fees - combined with the ETHUSDT price path over 365 days produces the exact result on this page. Changing any single value would create a different run with a different URL.

  • Engine settings: 1s-1m ETHUSDT candles · intrabar "OLHC" · 2s order latency

    365 days of Binance Spot OHLCV (1-second to 1-minute base resolution, depending on the pair) was replayed against the BasicMode rule set. The intrabar fill mode and latency assumption above are part of what makes this run reproducible - a different engine setting would produce a different equity curve on the same price data.

Performance Analysis

This run produced a 8.16% return on ETHUSDT — a small positive result. Outcomes in this range are within the noise band of typical backtest variance and should not be over-interpreted as evidence of edge.

About ETHUSDT: Ethereum sits one tier below Bitcoin in market cap and slightly above it in realised volatility. ETH pairs typically reward strategies that can hold through brief drawdowns to capture larger trend moves.

An 100.0% closed-trade win rate across 35,061 closed trades on ETHUSDT is unusually high. Strategies that win this often typically use small take-profits relative to stop-losses, which works until a single large adverse ETHUSDT move erases many small wins. This figure covers closed trades only and **excludes 1,450 orders** that were still open at the end of the window.

At roughly 96.1 ETHUSDT trades per day this is a high-frequency configuration — fee drag and slippage assumptions become critical when extrapolating to live trading on Binance Spot.

The trade payoff distribution is positively skewed — outsized winners drove the bulk of the result, which is characteristic of trend-capturing modes. Best single trade: 1.1789 USDT. Worst: 0.0803 USDT. Average per trade: 0.1461 USDT.

Risk profile (closed trades only): No closed trade ended in a loss in this window — the worst closed trade still finished at +0.00% of starting capital and the best at +0.00%, giving a best-vs-worst ratio of 14.68:1. **This is a closed-trade statistic only:** open positions and unrealized PnL are not reflected in the per-trade min/max, so this should not be read as "the strategy cannot lose". Drawdown on the equity curve and any negative unrealized PnL on still-open positions remain the relevant downside measures.

About the BasicMode strategy: BasicMode is the balanced reference configuration — moderate position sizing, standard take-profit and stop-loss bands. It's the baseline against which other modes are compared.

Configuration analysis: The BasicMode configuration entered on a 0.1% pullback signal across 4 potential buy splits at 32 USDT each. Total deployable notional is therefore 128 USDT — a position-sizing footprint that is defensive at 0% of starting capital — most of the account stays in stablecoins as buffer. No hard stop-loss is configured — the strategy relies on take-profit zones and trailing logic instead, which trades smoother behaviour for higher tail-risk in sustained downtrends. Profit is taken in 4 laddered sell zones, which scales out gradually rather than betting on a single exit price — a structure that smooths returns at the cost of capping the very best winners. Maker/taker fees totalling 15 bps were deducted from every fill, so the headline 8.16% is already net of trading costs — no additional fee adjustment is required when comparing to other runs.

Over the configured 365-day window the strategy reported 5121.08 USDT of realised trade profit on a 32000 USDT starting balance, ending at a portfolio value of 34610.81 USDT. Mechanically annualising the 8.16% window return projects to roughly +8.2% per year — the window covers roughly one full year, so the annualised figure is closer to the realised pace than to an extrapolation, but a single year still represents a single market regime. Treat this number as a unit-conversion of the window result, not as an expected forward return.

Hold-time profile: Average time in market per closed trade: 7.7 days - long-horizon holds where broader ETHUSDT regime dwarfs entry-timing precision. This cadence is a direct consequence of the BasicMode exit ladder interacting with realised ETHUSDT volatility over 365 days - a slower or faster market would shift the same rule set into a different bucket.

Realised vs unrealised split: The +2610.81 USDT change in portfolio value decomposes into 5121.08 USDT of realised trade profit and -2510.27 USDT of mark-to-market on 1450 positions still open at the cutoff. Roughly 96% of the headline is therefore unrealised - a bar-close in the wrong direction the next minute would repaint it, and that is why "return" and "realised profit" on this page are not the same number.

Break-even fee threshold: Given the realised 5121.08 USDT profit across 35,061 closed trades at ~32.00 USDT notional per fill, the strategy would break even at approximately 22.8 bps of round-trip fees. Binance retail is ~20 bps round-trip (15 bps with BNB discount); the gap between that live cost and the 22.8 bps figure is the fee headroom this configuration has before it turns unprofitable - a metric specific to this run's trade count and per-trade size.

Drawdown recovery ratio: Against a peak equity-curve drawdown of 17.60%, the 8.16% window return yields a pain-to-gain ratio of 0.46x - return did not fully cover the depth of the drawdown in this window, which is the psychologically hardest configuration to keep running live. Compare this against the same mode on other symbols before concluding the ratio is repeatable.

Realised profit velocity: On closed trades alone this configuration produced roughly +14.03 USDT/day, +98.21 USDT/week and +427.08 USDT/month across the 365-day ETHUSDT window. Velocity figures like these are useful for sizing - an operator running a 10x larger account on the same parameters would scale these numbers linearly, but slippage would grow non-linearly and eat into the top line.

Methodology & data

This backtest was executed on historical Binance Spot candles for ETHUSDT at a base resolution between 1 second and 1 minute (1-second for liquid pairs, 1-minute where finer data is unavailable), with intrabar fill simulation in "OLHC" mode and a synthetic order latency of 2s applied to each fill to approximate real-world routing delay. The simulator processes each base candle sequentially, evaluates the BasicMode rule set, and books fills against the next available bar, a standard event-driven backtesting approach that avoids look-ahead bias. Equity is marked-to-market on every closed trade and aggregated into the equity curve shown above.

In numerical terms the engine replayed at least ~525,600 one-minute-equivalent OHLCV bars end-to-end (pairs with 1-second base data process up to 60x more), one closed trade emerging on average every ~15 minute bars. That density is what pins reproducibility: rerunning the same BasicMode configuration on the same ETHUSDT bar range with the same intrabar and latency settings will yield the same fills to the tick, which is why the run identifier e0268c16 deterministically anchors this URL.

Configured backtest window: approximately 12.0 months (365 days from `config.from` to `config.to`) of ETHUSDT price action at 1-second to 1-minute resolution — a sample size that is large enough to span multiple short-term regimes. Note: the equity series may cover fewer days if the engine omits leading or trailing flat periods (e.g. dates before the asset began trading); see the Overview section for the exact equity-coverage span.

Live trading considerations

Translating this result to live trading: ETHUSDT is a deeply-liquid USDT-quoted pair on Binance, so the simulated fills here translate well to live execution at retail size. The high trade frequency means cumulative slippage and exchange-side latency will erode a few percent of the headline return over a full year — budget for that gap. Without a hard stop-loss, the live system depends on the take-profit ladder firing during recovery legs; a prolonged downtrend without recovery will hold positions open longer than backtest aggregates suggest. Additionally, exchange downtime, API rate limits, and funding-rate changes (on perp variants) are not modelled here and should be accounted for in production deployment.

Frequently asked questions

Is a 8.16% return on ETHUSDT a good backtest result?
Yes. More importantly, it beat a simple buy-and-hold of ETHUSDT (-11.57%) over the same window by +19.73% of alpha, which is the bar that actually matters for an automated strategy.
What does the 100.0% win rate mean here?
It means 100.0 out of every 100 closed trades ended profitable. Frequent wins are emotionally easier to operate but say nothing about size — one large loss can offset many small wins.
What is the annualised return for this ETHUSDT backtest?
This backtest already covers about a full year (365 days), so the annualised figure is essentially the total return of 8.16% itself, not a projection. A single year is not predictive of future years.
Can I run this exact BasicMode configuration live?
The configuration shown in the Strategy Configuration block is the same JSON schema the live unCoded TradingBot consumes, so it can be loaded into a live instance. That is a technical compatibility statement, not a recommendation: a passing backtest is necessary but not sufficient evidence that a configuration will be profitable in live trading. Before any live use, validate on an out-of-sample window, paper-trade it, confirm exchange-side fees match the simulated 7.5/7.5 bps, and start with a position size well below the backtested capital to absorb live slippage and execution differences.
How is this backtest different from others on ETHUSDT?
Every run on the platform uses the same intrabar-fill engine and historical Binance Spot data, so the comparison is apples-to-apples. What differs between runs is the BasicMode parameter set (buy trigger, sell zones, splits, stop-loss) and the time window — both are visible above so you can rerun, tune, or fork this configuration.
How deep was the drawdown during this ETHUSDT run?
Peak equity-curve drawdown reached 17.60% during the 365-day window. That is the largest peak-to-trough dip an operator would have had to sit through mid-run - a figure that matters more for psychological survivability than the headline +8.16% end-of-window return.
What does the Sharpe ratio of 0.51 say about this configuration?
Sharpe measures return per unit of trade-level volatility. At 0.51 this ETHUSDT run sits in the modest band for the tested window - but Sharpe on a single window is regime-dependent and should be compared against the same mode on other windows before drawing conclusions.
Why are 1,450 orders still shown as open?
The backtest ended at 2025-12-31 with 1,450 positions not yet closed. Their unrealised PnL is included in the portfolio value but not in the closed-trade win rate or the realised profit total - that is the standard reason the two numbers diverge on this page.
How much capital does the BasicMode configuration deploy per position cluster?
Up to 128 USDT can be in-market at once (4 splits x 32.00 USDT). Against the 32000 USDT starting balance that is a 0% notional ceiling - sizing lower for live use is the most common way operators cushion against slippage on the first live drawdown.

This interpretation is generated deterministically from this run's own metrics. Past performance is not indicative of future results — a profitable backtest is necessary but not sufficient evidence that a strategy will work in live trading on ETHUSDT.

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