MarketMakerTest • 6/4/2026, 8:21:01 PM
+0.00% return but -42.89% alpha vs holding ETHUSDT. Configured entry: 0.0025% pullback trigger sizing 20 USDT per buy on ETHUSDT.
ETHUSDT | 1001MarketMakerTest.json | 2024-01-01 - 2025-01-01 | +0.00%
Strategy: MarketMakerTest | Period: 2024-01-01 to 2025-01-01 | Starting Capital: 10,000.00 USDT | Final portfolio value (incl. open positions): 10,000.00 USDT | Return: +0.00% | Closed trades: 0 | Closed-trade win rate: N/A | Best Trade: N/A USDT | Worst Trade: N/A USDT | Realized profit (closed trades only): +0.00 USDT | Max Drawdown: 0.00% | Fees simulated at 0 bps
Backtest ETHUSDT (Mode: 1001MarketMakerTest.json) Period: 2024-01-01 00:00:01 to 2025-01-01 23:59:59 Starting balance: 10,000.00 USDT Final value: 10,000.00 USDT P&L: +0.00 USDT (+0.00%) Result: PROFIT Completed trades: 0 Open orders at end: 0 Strategy parameters: Buy trigger: -0.0025% from last buy Buy splits: 10 Sell targets: [0.05, 0.1, 0.15, 0.2, 0.25, 0.3, 0.35, 0.4, 0.45, 0.5] Investment per buy: 20.0 USDT Fees: maker 0.0 bps / taker 0.0 bps Elapsed: 10.4s
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Findings derived from this run's own numbers - not shared boilerplate.
ETHUSDT itself moved +42.89% over the same window. Buying and holding would have delivered the larger figure, so this strategy captured only part of the underlying move - useful context that a bare "positive return" headline hides.
367 calendar days x 1,440 minutes per day = ~528,480 OHLCV bars replayed sequentially against the MarketMakerTest rule set (pairs with 1-second base data process up to 60x more) to produce the 0 closed trades on this page. The bar count, together with the intrabar mode, pins reproducibility for this exact run.
The exit staircase spreads profit-taking across a 0.450% band above entry, with each rung 0.050% apart on average. That specific ladder geometry - combined with the ETHUSDT realised volatility over 367 days - determined how many rungs actually filled and shaped the 0-trade sample on this page.
10 buy splits x 20.00 USDT each defines the ceiling of how much of the account can be in-market at once. That leaves ~98% of the account permanently in stablecoin as a buffer against extended ETHUSDT drawdowns. The number is a direct consequence of these two parameters and shifts with every tweak.
Realized 0.00 USDT across 0 closed trades. Starting balance 10000.00 USDT ended at 10000.00 USDT portfolio value. These numbers belong to this run (id abde05e2) only - no other backtest in the library shares this exact combination.
Full parameter set for this run - buy trigger 0.0025%, 10 buy splits, 20 USDT per buy, 10 sell zones - combined with the ETHUSDT price path over 367 days produces the exact result on this page. Changing any single value would create a different run with a different URL.
367 days of Binance Spot OHLCV (1-second to 1-minute base resolution, depending on the pair) was replayed against the MarketMakerTest rule set. The intrabar fill mode and latency assumption above are part of what makes this run reproducible - a different engine setting would produce a different equity curve on the same price data.
This run produced a 0.00% return on ETHUSDT — a small positive result. Outcomes in this range are within the noise band of typical backtest variance and should not be over-interpreted as evidence of edge.
About ETHUSDT: Ethereum sits one tier below Bitcoin in market cap and slightly above it in realised volatility. ETH pairs typically reward strategies that can hold through brief drawdowns to capture larger trend moves.
Configuration analysis: The MarketMakerTest configuration entered on a 0.0025% pullback signal across 10 potential buy splits at 20 USDT each. Total deployable notional is therefore 200 USDT — a position-sizing footprint that is defensive at 2% of starting capital — most of the account stays in stablecoins as buffer. No hard stop-loss is configured — the strategy relies on take-profit zones and trailing logic instead, which trades smoother behaviour for higher tail-risk in sustained downtrends. Profit is taken in 10 laddered sell zones, which scales out gradually rather than betting on a single exit price — a structure that smooths returns at the cost of capping the very best winners. Fee assumptions were set to zero in this run; any return figures should be discounted before comparing against live-trading expectations.
Over the configured 367-day window the strategy reported 0.00 USDT of realised trade profit on a 10000 USDT starting balance, ending at a portfolio value of 10000.00 USDT. Mechanically annualising the 0.00% window return projects to roughly +0.0% per year — the window covers roughly one full year, so the annualised figure is closer to the realised pace than to an extrapolation, but a single year still represents a single market regime. Treat this number as a unit-conversion of the window result, not as an expected forward return.
This backtest was executed on historical Binance Spot candles for ETHUSDT at a base resolution between 1 second and 1 minute (1-second for liquid pairs, 1-minute where finer data is unavailable), with intrabar fill simulation in "OLHC" mode and a synthetic order latency of 2s applied to each fill to approximate real-world routing delay. The simulator processes each base candle sequentially, evaluates the MarketMakerTest rule set, and books fills against the next available bar, a standard event-driven backtesting approach that avoids look-ahead bias. Equity is marked-to-market on every closed trade and aggregated into the equity curve shown above.
In numerical terms the engine replayed at least ~528,480 one-minute-equivalent OHLCV bars end-to-end (pairs with 1-second base data process up to 60x more). That density is what pins reproducibility: rerunning the same MarketMakerTest configuration on the same ETHUSDT bar range with the same intrabar and latency settings will yield the same fills to the tick, which is why the run identifier abde05e2 deterministically anchors this URL.
Configured backtest window: approximately 12.1 months (367 days from `config.from` to `config.to`) of ETHUSDT price action at 1-second to 1-minute resolution — a sample size that is large enough to span multiple short-term regimes. Note: the equity series may cover fewer days if the engine omits leading or trailing flat periods (e.g. dates before the asset began trading); see the Overview section for the exact equity-coverage span.
Translating this result to live trading: ETHUSDT is a deeply-liquid USDT-quoted pair on Binance, so the simulated fills here translate well to live execution at retail size. Lower trade frequency keeps slippage drag minimal, so live results should track the backtest more closely than a high-frequency configuration would. Without a hard stop-loss, the live system depends on the take-profit ladder firing during recovery legs; a prolonged downtrend without recovery will hold positions open longer than backtest aggregates suggest. Additionally, exchange downtime, API rate limits, and funding-rate changes (on perp variants) are not modelled here and should be accounted for in production deployment.
This interpretation is generated deterministically from this run's own metrics. Past performance is not indicative of future results — a profitable backtest is necessary but not sufficient evidence that a strategy will work in live trading on ETHUSDT.
Neighbouring runs from the library - same pair, same strategy, and the exact same ETHUSDT x MarketMakerTest combination.