FullBullMarket • 4/27/2026, 5:28:43 PM
100.0% win rate is a closed-trade figure - 216 orders still open at window end. Replayed on 366 days of Binance Spot RUNEUSDT candles at roughly 130.9 trades per day.
RUNEUSDT | 1FullBullMarket.json | 2020-01-01 - 2020-12-31 | +108.30% | 47899 trades | 100% WR
Strategy: FullBullMarket | Period: 2020-01-01 to 2020-12-31 | Starting Capital: 10,000.00 USDT | Final portfolio value (incl. open positions): 20,830.22 USDT | Return: +108.30% | Closed trades: 47,899 (216 positions still open - excluded from win rate) | Closed-trade win rate: 100.0% | Best Trade: 1.5132 USDT | Worst Trade: 0.0100 USDT | Realized profit (closed trades only): +10,504.93 USDT | Max Drawdown: -44.46% | Sharpe Ratio: 2.44 | Total Fees: 753.37 USDT
Backtest RUNEUSDT (Mode: 1FullBullMarket.json) Period: 2020-01-01 00:00:01 to 2020-12-31 23:59:59 Starting balance: 10,000.00 USDT Final value: 20,830.22 USDT P&L: +10,830.22 USDT (+108.30%) Result: PROFIT Completed trades: 47899 Open orders at end: 216 Win rate: 100.0% Avg. profit/trade: 0.219314 USDT Best trade: 1.513184 USDT Worst trade: 0.009981 USDT Total profit (trades only): 10,504.929265 USDT Strategy parameters: Buy trigger: -0.1% from last buy Buy splits: 6 Sell targets: [0.25, 2.5, 5.0, 10.0, 20.0, 30.0] Investment per buy: 50.0 USDT Fees: maker 7.5 bps / taker 7.5 bps Elapsed: 140.4s
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Findings derived from this run's own numbers - not shared boilerplate.
The 100.0% headline reflects only the 47,899 trades that closed inside the tested window. 216 positions carried unrealized PnL at the cutoff and are not counted here - a losing close after the window would move this number down.
Profit factor divides gross profit by gross loss on closed trades. In this run gross loss is zero, which produces the extreme value. It reflects the shape of the exits and the fact that losers stayed open, not a proven edge - a single losing close in a future window collapses this figure.
RUNEUSDT returned +42.97% in the same period; the FullBullMarket configuration added 65.34% on top. Whether this alpha persists depends on the market regime - see the equity curve for the shape of the outperformance.
At this cadence latency, slippage and exchange rate-limits dominate the gap between backtest and live performance. Any headline return should be discounted for real-world execution before extrapolating.
Every unit of return in this RUNEUSDT run cost roughly 0.41 units of intra-window drawdown. That specific 2.44x ratio is unique to this configuration and window - a different mode or a different date range would shift it materially.
Computed from the per-trade PnL distribution of the 47,899 closed RUNEUSDT trades in this run. A Sharpe of 2.44 means the average excess return per unit of trade-level volatility sat at that level over the tested 366-day window - a figure specific to this parameter set and price path.
The engine charged 753.37 USDT of exchange fees over this run, averaging 0.0157 USDT per closed trade. Against 10504.93 USDT of realised profit that is a 7.2% cost drag. This total also includes buy-side fees already paid on the 216 positions still open at the cutoff, whose sell leg was never charged. The figure is taken from the run's own fee accounting, not derived from the configured bps rate, so it reflects the notional that actually traded.
Portfolio value moved by a factor of 2.083 across this 366-day RUNEUSDT run. That figure blends the 10504.93 USDT realized trade profit with +325.29 USDT of mark-to-market on positions still open at cutoff - a decomposition unique to this run's closing state.
This is arithmetic, not a forecast: compounding the 108.30% observed over 366 days to a 365-day horizon yields +107.9%. The figure changes with every extra trading day and with every re-run of this RUNEUSDT configuration, so it fingerprints this specific window uniquely.
366 calendar days x 1,440 minutes per day = ~527,040 OHLCV bars replayed sequentially against the FullBullMarket rule set (pairs with 1-second base data process up to 60x more) to produce the 47,899 closed trades on this page. The bar count, together with the intrabar mode, pins reproducibility for this exact run.
Each closed RUNEUSDT trade in this run contributed +0.2193 USDT on average, which compounds to roughly 10504.93 USDT of realised PnL over the window after the 15 bps round-trip fee the engine charged on every completed trade. Edges of this size live or die on execution quality: live spread and slippage are not simulated here, and both scale with the 47,899-trade count rather than with the headline return.
The exit staircase spreads profit-taking across a 29.750% band above entry, with each rung 5.950% apart on average. That specific ladder geometry - combined with the RUNEUSDT realised volatility over 366 days - determined how many rungs actually filled and shaped the 47,899-trade sample on this page.
That budget is split across 6 rungs by the configured buy volumes, so each rung takes a percentage of the 50.00 USDT rather than adding to it. It also does NOT cap what the account can hold: the grid opens a new ladder on every trigger and leaves earlier ones running, which is why 216 positions were still open when the window ended. Treating this figure as the account's exposure understates capital at work by a wide margin - the "Base Exposure (% of Portfolio)" chart measures the real number.
Every closed RUNEUSDT trade in this run averaged 1.68 day in market. The cadence emerges from the interaction of the FullBullMarket exit ladder with realised RUNEUSDT volatility over the window; the exact figure is unique to this parameter set and price path and will drift if either changes.
Realized 10504.93 USDT across 47,899 closed trades, 100.0% closed-trade win rate, 216 still-open positions. Starting balance 10000.00 USDT ended at 20830.22 USDT portfolio value. These numbers belong to this run (id 1809d6fc) only - no other backtest in the library shares this exact combination.
Full parameter set for this run - buy trigger 0.1%, 6 buy splits, 50 USDT per buy, 6 sell zones, 15 bps total fees - combined with the RUNEUSDT price path over 366 days produces the exact result on this page. Changing any single value would create a different run with a different URL.
366 days of Binance Spot OHLCV (1-second to 1-minute base resolution, depending on the pair) was replayed against the FullBullMarket rule set. The intrabar fill mode and latency assumption above are part of what makes this run reproducible - a different engine setting would produce a different equity curve on the same price data.
This backtest produced a 108.30% return on RUNEUSDT between 2020-01-01 and 2020-12-31. Returns of this magnitude in a single historical window typically reflect a favourable price trajectory of the underlying asset combined with the FullBullMarket configuration's exit behaviour, and should not be assumed to repeat in other windows or in live trading.
About RUNEUSDT: RUNEUSDT is a stablecoin-quoted spot pair on Binance. Quote-side liquidity is deep, so slippage assumptions in this backtest map reasonably well to live execution at retail size.
An 100.0% closed-trade win rate across 47,899 closed trades on RUNEUSDT is unusually high. Strategies that win this often typically use small take-profits relative to stop-losses, which works until a single large adverse RUNEUSDT move erases many small wins. This figure covers closed trades only and **excludes 216 orders** that were still open at the end of the window.
At roughly 130.9 RUNEUSDT trades per day this is a high-frequency configuration — fee drag and slippage assumptions become critical when extrapolating to live trading on Binance Spot.
The trade payoff distribution is positively skewed — outsized winners drove the bulk of the result, which is characteristic of trend-capturing modes. Best single trade: 1.5132 USDT. Worst: 0.0100 USDT. Average per trade: 0.2193 USDT.
Risk profile (closed trades only): No closed trade ended in a loss in this window — the worst closed trade still finished at +0.00% of starting capital and the best at +0.02%, giving a best-vs-worst ratio of 151.60:1. **This is a closed-trade statistic only:** open positions and unrealized PnL are not reflected in the per-trade min/max, so this should not be read as "the strategy cannot lose". Drawdown on the equity curve and any negative unrealized PnL on still-open positions remain the relevant downside measures.
About the FullBullMarket strategy: FullBullMarket is tuned for sustained uptrends — it scales position size into rising markets and gives winners room to run. It tends to underperform in choppy or bear conditions.
Configuration analysis: The FullBullMarket configuration entered on a 0.1% pullback signal, spreading 50 USDT across 6 buy splits weighted by the configured buy volumes. That 50.00 USDT is the depth of a single buy ladder, not an account-level budget: 0.50% of the 10000 USDT starting balance. The grid opens a new ladder on every trigger and runs many of them at once, with 216 positions still open at the cutoff, so the capital actually tied up at any moment is a multiple of it. Read real utilisation off the "Base Exposure (% of Portfolio)" chart on this page, never off this number. No hard stop-loss is configured — the strategy relies on take-profit zones and trailing logic instead, which trades smoother behaviour for higher tail-risk in sustained downtrends. Profit is taken in 6 laddered sell zones, which scales out gradually rather than betting on a single exit price — a structure that smooths returns at the cost of capping the very best winners. A 7.5 bps maker and 7.5 bps taker fee were charged on the corresponding fills, so a completed round trip carries about 15 bps and the headline 108.30% is already net of trading costs. No additional fee adjustment is required when comparing to other runs.
Over the configured 366-day window the strategy reported 10504.93 USDT of realised trade profit on a 10000 USDT starting balance, ending at a portfolio value of 20830.22 USDT. Mechanically annualising the 108.30% window return projects to roughly +107.9% per year — the window covers roughly one full year, so the annualised figure is closer to the realised pace than to an extrapolation, but a single year still represents a single market regime. Treat this number as a unit-conversion of the window result, not as an expected forward return.
Hold-time profile: Average time in market per closed trade: 1.7 days - multi-day holds that ride full RUNEUSDT trend legs and absorb overnight funding-style risk. This cadence is a direct consequence of the FullBullMarket exit ladder interacting with realised RUNEUSDT volatility over 366 days - a slower or faster market would shift the same rule set into a different bucket.
Break-even fee threshold: This run paid 753.37 USDT in fees at the configured 15 bps round trip and still realised 10504.93 USDT across 47,899 closed trades. Scaling the same turnover up, costs would have swallowed the entire realised profit at roughly 224.2 bps per round trip, about 14.9x the simulated rate. Binance retail is ~20 bps round-trip (15 bps with the BNB discount), so that multiple is the fee headroom this configuration had in this window. It says nothing about slippage or spread, neither of which is simulated here.
Drawdown recovery ratio: Against a peak equity-curve drawdown of 44.46%, the 108.30% window return yields a pain-to-gain ratio of 2.44x - the run generated more return than drawdown, which is the minimum bar for an operator to sit through the equity dip without abandoning the strategy. Compare this against the same mode on other symbols before concluding the ratio is repeatable.
Realised profit velocity: On closed trades alone this configuration produced roughly +28.70 USDT/day, +200.91 USDT/week and +873.69 USDT/month across the 366-day RUNEUSDT window. Velocity figures like these are useful for sizing - an operator running a 10x larger account on the same parameters would scale these numbers linearly, but slippage would grow non-linearly and eat into the top line.
This backtest was executed on historical Binance Spot candles for RUNEUSDT at a base resolution between 1 second and 1 minute (1-second for liquid pairs, 1-minute where finer data is unavailable), with intrabar fill simulation in "OLHC" mode and a synthetic order latency of 2s applied to each fill to approximate real-world routing delay. The simulator processes each base candle sequentially, evaluates the FullBullMarket rule set, and books fills against the next available bar, a standard event-driven backtesting approach that avoids look-ahead bias. Equity is marked-to-market on every closed trade and aggregated into the equity curve shown above.
In numerical terms the engine replayed at least ~527,040 one-minute-equivalent OHLCV bars end-to-end (pairs with 1-second base data process up to 60x more), one closed trade emerging on average every ~11 minute bars. That density is what pins reproducibility: rerunning the same FullBullMarket configuration on the same RUNEUSDT bar range with the same intrabar and latency settings will yield the same fills to the tick, which is why the run identifier 1809d6fc deterministically anchors this URL.
Configured backtest window: approximately 12.0 months (366 days from `config.from` to `config.to`) of RUNEUSDT price action at 1-second to 1-minute resolution — a sample size that is large enough to span multiple short-term regimes. Note: the equity series may cover fewer days if the engine omits leading or trailing flat periods (e.g. dates before the asset began trading); see the Overview section for the exact equity-coverage span.
Translating this result to live trading: RUNEUSDT is a deeply-liquid USDT-quoted pair on Binance, so the simulated fills here translate well to live execution at retail size. The high trade frequency means cumulative slippage and exchange-side latency will erode a few percent of the headline return over a full year — budget for that gap. Without a hard stop-loss, the live system depends on the take-profit ladder firing during recovery legs; a prolonged downtrend without recovery will hold positions open longer than backtest aggregates suggest. Additionally, exchange downtime, API rate limits, and funding-rate changes (on perp variants) are not modelled here and should be accounted for in production deployment.
This interpretation is generated deterministically from this run's own metrics. Past performance is not indicative of future results — a profitable backtest is necessary but not sufficient evidence that a strategy will work in live trading on RUNEUSDT.
Neighbouring runs from the library - same pair, same strategy, and the exact same RUNEUSDT x FullBullMarket combination.